Posts Tagged ‘MarketUpdate’

Market Update

Monday, January 10th, 2011

We have been experiencing a marked increase in activity from late November (U.S. Thanksgiving) through the first week of December 2010, resulting in 11 new transactions  signed and working towards closing, with 6 or 7 closings squeezed into the last two weeks of 2010. These transactions are spread throughout our 5 RPR offices in Punta Mita, nahui and Los Veneros, therefore embracing the entire Riviera North Shore. We also have another 3 transactions that are close to having pen meet paper so during the end of 2010 we have seen great things happening. This gives us added confidence for the new year ahead!

We are also starting to see some interest from large international ‘funds’ looking to acquire land for future development, as well as smaller developers looking to get back into the market by way of purchasing developments in unsettled waters and/or raw land yet undeveloped throughout the Riviera North Shore. This again indicates to us that confidence is now returning little by little and we expect this trend to continue into the New Year.

While we do not see much new interest from U.S. prospective purchasers we are noticing that the Canadian and Mexican prospects are here to stay and we are sure that in time, as the U.S. economy and other factors regain some form of balance and/or path to recovery, that we will see our U.S. neighbors returning to rediscover our magical piece of paradise.

We are working diligently on our outreach programs through local residents and partner high-end brokers in Aspen, Colorado USA, and Calgary, Alberta, Canada. We are also to be traveling and hosting a number of events to further promote our region in these locations, including the important FITUR  Expo in Madrid, Spain, in late January. These events are being supported by our local residents from these areas along with our partner brokers located in the same cities who understand our market. We continue to think dynamically and out of the box given the inherent challenges that we face with the economy and other uncontrollable factors. We are committed to continuing to expand our outreach and evolve as a company to ensure our continued growth through these challenging times.

November 2010 Market Update

Tuesday, November 16th, 2010

The weather has cooled, many of our friends and neighbors are returning, and we are looking ahead to a great winter season in the Riviera Nayarit, Riviera North Shore and Punta Mita. Despite the fact that the summer is traditionally a very slow time, we are pleased to announce that Riviera Partners Realty has closed four transactions in the past month and we have other offers pending agreement today.

We are optimistic about this coming season, and we’re not the only ones. You may have read in the news lately that an upbeat report from the Mexico Ministry of Tourism is showing a nearly 20% jump in international tourist arrivals via air to Mexico this year. According to the report, from January to August of this year, the number of international tourists arriving in Mexico by air increased by 19.2%, compared with the same period last year, one of Mexico’s worst-ever tourism years, and was up 6% compared with 2008, one of Mexico’s strongest years on record. The U.S. continues to be the main market for travelers to Mexico. In the first eight months of 2010, 4.3 million Americans arrived in Mexico, a 15.7% increase over the same period in 2009 and a 1.9% jump over 2008.
Some 61% of international tourists to Mexico are Americans, the ministry said.

Both the New York Times and Los Angeles Times reported this news, noting the increase is in spite the widespread – and sensationalist – reporting in the media of narco-related violence in Mexico, as well as the August bankruptcy of Mexicana Airlines, which was an important contributor to international air flight lift. Further, the growth in tourism has been primarily experienced in the beach resort areas—such as Puerto Vallarta and the North Shore—which have not experienced the same incidents of violence. Mexico is warmly welcoming the return of tourism after such a challenging year in 2009, and there are still abundant vacation – and real estate – values available, including here in Punta Mita. Make your plans to visit us here in paradise again soon.

August Market Perspective

Monday, August 23rd, 2010

At Riviera Partners, we are seeing an increase in activity from Mexican buyers – both individuals as well as developers – coming back into the market. They are actively looking to take positions in well-priced real estate, as they sense that this is the bottom of price adjustments in this region. With the Mexico economy strong, we believe Mexican buyers will lead the return to investment in the area, paving the way for their Canadian and U.S. counterparts.

Part of their leading the return to purchases is due to the relative strength of the Mexican economy. Their economy has show consistent signs of positive recovery and an increase in activity in both manufacturing orders and exports, two key contributors to Mexico’s GDP. The Mexican central bank has forecast for the end of the second semester an average growth of between 4.0 to 5.0%, as well as the creation of between 525,000 to 625,000 new private sector jobs by year-end. Notwithstanding some concerns and risks for the economic grow, the consensus of analysts are calling the end of this recession in Mexico. The Mexican Bolsa (stock market index) continues to move in positive territory, having registered consistent gains since September 2009.

Mexico did not experience the same financial meltdown as the U.S., but merely reacted to the problems of its northern neighbor. Mexico’s banks and insurance companies emerged largely unscathed from the global crisis thanks to proactive supervision by regulators and the strict regulations put in place following a severe domestic financial crisis in 1995 that saw many of the country’s banks fail or go into government receivership. To ensure its institutions’ continued strength, the Mexico government recently instituted the Financial Stability Council. It held its first meeting in early August, just two weeks after President Felipe Calderon issued the decree establishing the body, whose main task is to watch for systemic risks in the country’s already heavily regulated financial system.

Today, all major Mexican banks are well capitalized and profitable, although somewhat reluctant to lend even as the economy is forecast to grow between 4% and 5% this year. Bank profits rose 15% year-on-year to 37.28 billion pesos ($2.93 million) in the first half of 2010, after growing 11% to MXN62.06 billion last year.

Mexico boasts the 12th largest economy in the world and, according to the World Bank, and it has the highest Gross National Income per capita in Latin America. Goldman Sachs’ recent study of emerging economies predicted that by 2050 Mexico will hold one of the largest economies in the world, alongside China, United States, India, Japan and Brazil.

In a word, the Mexico market is resilient, with the Mexico economy strong. Although the northern news media is focusing their cameras on violence resulting from the Mexican government’s aggressive war against drug traffickers, there is another story to be told in Mexico. It’s a shame positive news isn’t nearly as attention-getting as sensational news. Which, according to Mexican buyers – is just fine for them. It gives them more time to take advantage of current opportunities before their northern neighbors realize the opportunities present here, and return to the game.

Market Update – July 26

Monday, July 26th, 2010

So far, this summer has been hot in Punta Mita, and we’re not just referring to the weather — our office has closed two property transactions in the first 15 days of July, with an additional two closings scheduled for the balance of the month. We continue to see increasing interest from potential buyers, as they sense that the best values are now on the table.

Riviera Partners is proud to have spearheaded the first-ever meeting of Developers active in the North Shore in late July, to discuss common issues such as infrastructure, services and the environment. Also participating in this meeting will be representatives of the Nayarit state government. We believe that bringing together these entities will result in more successful and positive growth in our North Shore to Punta Mita region, and are pleased to invest our time and expertise in fostering this exchange of ideas and action.

As we mentioned last month, we continue to see the Mexican buyer as among the most active in our market currently, and as the traditional summer vacation period moves into full swing this month, this should only increase. Despite the sensational reports about Mexico airing in US media, residents of Mexico better understand that this issue of violence is contained to specific geographic regions, and is limited to specific groups. On the contrary, Pacific Mexico—especially around the greater Puerto Vallarta/Banderas Bay region—is viewed as just that, “Pacific”, as well as stable and with a solid economy. Property prices here are viewed as excellent values.

And our market is not the only one experiencing recovery. Our realtor friends in a similar luxury community in Hawaii have shared with us that their 2010 year-to-date sales are just over $71M, compared with $19M for the same period in 2009. Historically, they have proven to be a leading indicator for our market, so this strengthens our belief that prices have now stabilized in our market, and our optimism that activity will continue to increase.

Market Update – July 1

Monday, July 5th, 2010

June has always been a slower month (shoulder month) for visitors here in the Punta Mita area but we are expecting more activity as we head into the summer vacation season. With regard to real estate transactions, June for us has been a positive beginning to the summer months ahead, as we have several transactions in escrow with closings happening through the end of this month, as well as additional closings scheduled in July and August.

We are feeling the market strengthening, as evidenced by three of our most recent transactions – single family home sites within Punta Mita and a development parcel in the North Shore – indicating that the prospective purchaser is willing to start venturing outside of the finished product limitation.

New construction within Punta Mita is another signal that more confidence is beginning to return to our market, and is another indicator for us that the market is gaining momentum and confidence, albeit slowly.

We are clearly seeing that Canadian and Mexican buyers are more active, with U.S. investors still remaining on the sidelines for now. The strength of both of these economies is underlying the increase in interest and activity, coupled with the unique attractions this area holds for these markets.

In Canada, the economic recovery has fully taken hold, with first quarter 2010 GDP growth leading all G-7 countries at a rate of 6.1 percent. This is also the strongest increase in over ten years, and contributed to the increase in employment, erasing almost a third of the job losses experienced during the downturn, which bottomed in August 2009. Canada’s stable housing market and more conservative financial institutions contributed to the more rapid recovery, which also benefited from a strengthening in demand for some of Canada’s key commodities.

Canadians have traditionally been buyers in the Puerto Vallarta and Punta Mita markets, as they look for a winter beach escape—and air access here is readily available from key points in Canada. The exceptional prices available now are motivating buyers who hesitated when real estate prices were at historic highs. The recent price adjustment in many desirable properties is providing a terrific buying opportunity, and our Canadian buyers are taking advantage of these opportunities.

In Mexico, where GDP is expected to grow at close to 5% this year, the relative absence of financing helped protect home prices—especially in resort areas—from experiencing the same sort of free-fall price declines as were seen in Florida and other areas. As the Mexico economy recovers, the emerging middle class here has created a whole new market of resort homebuyers. In our area, interest is especially strong from the Guadalajara market—which is less than a 3-hour drive away, as well as from Mexico City and Monterrey. In addition to offering a resort home for enjoying holidays and weekends, the Mexican buyer also sees these as value-based investment properties, especially those on the beaches.

We are very sympathetic to the crisis of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico and the surrounding areas, and share in the frustrations of many over this ecological disaster. However, being realistic, we do believe that as oil comes ashore on the beaches of Florida, attention will turn to Mexico’s beaches, especially those in Pacific Mexico, as an alternative for both beach vacations and resort home ownership. Where clean beaches were once assumed as a “given”, more attention will be paid to policies and practices that could impact their continued health over time. Mexico has an active certification process to monitor and track the cleanliness of its beaches and waters, and there are no offshore drilling facilities which could impact the beaches in our area – which is another benefit of property ownership here.